# Valmanifest 2026 — provenance Collected 2026-09-05, eight days before the election on 13 September. Same rules as [poster-sources.md](poster-sources.md) and [costs-sources.md](costs-sources.md): every file carries a source URL, a retrieval date, a confidence grade and its caveats. **All eight parliamentary parties are held, as original publisher PDFs.** Files in `valmanifest/`, plain-text extractions (`pdftotext -layout`) in `valmanifest/text/`. --- ## What was collected | Party | File | Title | Pages | Words | Grade | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | S | `s-valprogram-2026.pdf` | *Dags att ta Sverige på allvar* | 21 | 7 088 | A — publisher PDF | | M | `m-valmanifest-2026.pdf` | *Valmanifest 2026* (226 points) | 50 | 16 811 | A — publisher PDF | | SD | `sd-valplattform-2026.pdf` | *Valplattform 2026 — Hemma i Sverige* | 12 | 3 057 | A — publisher PDF | | C | `c-valmanifest-2026.pdf` | *Sverige kan mer* | 96 | 27 541 | A — publisher PDF | | V | `v-valplattform-2026.pdf` | *En ny inriktning för Sverige* | 11 | 1 955 | **B — via Wayback** | | KD | `kd-valmanifest-2026.pdf` | *Tro på Sverige. Vård. Vardag. Värderingar.* | 10 | 4 646 | A — publisher PDF | | L | `l-valmanifest-2026.pdf` | *För din frihet* | 40 | 9 478 | A — publisher PDF | | MP | `mp-valmanifest-2026.pdf` | *Sverige vinner på grön politik* | 9 | 3 222 | A — publisher PDF | Corpus total: **249 pages, ~73 800 words.** ## Sources - **S** — https://www.socialdemokraterna.se/download/18.40fb56b21a04255a9803c1e/1788259051237/Soc%20Valprogram%202026.pdf Linked from https://www.socialdemokraterna.se/val-2026/valprogram . Note the party calls this a *valprogram*, not a *valmanifest*; the February 2026 launch used the term *valplattform* ("Plan för Sverige", 2026-02-05). Confidence: primary. - **M** — https://moderaterna.se/app/uploads/2026/09/Valmanifest-2026_digital.pdf Linked from https://moderaterna.se/valmanifest-2026/ . Uploaded September 2026 (the `/2026/09/` path), i.e. the final campaign version. Confidence: primary. - **SD** — https://www.sd.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/valplattform-2026.pdf National platform, July 2026. SD also publishes many municipal and regional *valmanifest* under `sd.se//`; those are **not** collected here. Confidence: primary. - **C** — https://val2026.centerpartiet.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Valmanifest-2026.pdf Found on the campaign subsite, not the main party site — the main `centerpartiet.se/centerpartiets-politik/valmanifest-2026` page links only a "Charter of Values" PDF. Confidence: primary. - **V** — https://www.vansterpartiet.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Valplattform_2026.pdf **Retrieved via the Internet Archive**, snapshot `20260814193326`: http://web.archive.org/web/20260814193326if_/https://www.vansterpartiet.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Valplattform_2026.pdf See the caveat below. Adopted at the party congress in Örebro, 17–19 April 2026; this June PDF is the **final** version. An earlier April PDF titled `Preliminar-Valplattform-...` exists and was **not** used. Confidence: primary content, secondary retrieval path. - **KD** — https://kristdemokraterna.se/download/18.3fb0a02c1a01f5f28f7326/1787292489599/Valmanifest%202026.pdf Presented 2026-08-21, linked from https://kristdemokraterna.se/var-politik/val-2026/valmanifest . Confidence: primary. - **L** — https://www.liberalerna.se/wp-content/uploads/liberalernas-valmanifest-2026-40s-komprimerad.pdf Linked from the launch release https://www.liberalerna.se/nyheter/liberalerna-presenterar-valmanifest-2026-for-din-frihet . Filename says `komprimerad` — a compressed export, not an abridged text; 40 pages matches the document's own table of contents. Confidence: primary. - **MP** — https://www.mp.se/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/miljopartiets-valmanifest-2026.pdf Linked from https://www.mp.se/valmanifest2026/ . PDF metadata title is "Kopia av 260613 Valmanifest 2026 - fastställ[d]" — an internal working filename on the published file. Confidence: primary. ## Caveats — read before quoting - **V is the one weak link in the chain.** `vansterpartiet.se` returns **HTTP 403 to every request from this environment** — homepage, campaign page and PDF alike — so the file could not be taken from the publisher. The copy held is an Internet Archive snapshot from 2026-08-14. It opens correctly, is 11 pages, and its Adobe InDesign creation date is 2026-06-24, consistent with a June final. **Before publishing any V figure, re-fetch from vansterpartiet.se on a normal browser and confirm the SHA256 below.** - **The documents are not the same genre.** S publishes a *valprogram*, V and SD a *valplattform*, the rest a *valmanifest*. Length varies more than eightfold (C 27 541 words vs V 1 955). Any cross-party frequency count is shaped by that before it is shaped by politics — normalise per 1 000 words, and say so. - **National level only.** SD in particular publishes a large number of municipal and regional manifestos; C, MP and V likewise. None are collected here. - Retrieved 2026-09-05. Parties revise campaign PDFs in place; the SHA256 list is the fixity record. ## Fixity ``` 69013e13c1abd35bdfc5cde0dfa3201ab5b4f25cc171141e0932e57d63af8892 c-valmanifest-2026.pdf 6aafa90124dc4a694d278a0446b7532b53e84cca007bcd80de50f78ebacc4630 kd-valmanifest-2026.pdf c37b7163ca017aa73a14861f3a66298b89fced7e7d5939aa3d697510ddf8cd31 l-valmanifest-2026.pdf b6705c50e73d4dd25c626cc48ec9ff64041de3170f40e65ca7589805b1ee7cd3 m-valmanifest-2026.pdf 2f5ae7faee5f47921d633b261db17c3c63a865634fc905d6d1553fa396b08865 mp-valmanifest-2026.pdf 252d28dfd7f72ca36d2ad5a3c02c4f6ac1cd1b4b5884580abe9267c0b3f2c051 s-valprogram-2026.pdf fa1bdfe015b73de1be3182dec78b7ec498e9822d3a4b4f89ae3ee1b679bb1407 sd-valplattform-2026.pdf e03ac64f7c2f11f208ef70dfb41a565168f5b1902f60546429ea6cef955a7f2b v-valplattform-2026.pdf ``` --- ## First observation, before any analysis Two things fell out of the collection itself and are recorded here so the analysis can start from them rather than rediscover them. ### The manifesto titles are the poster slogans Every title matches artwork already in `posters/` and coded in `coded-data.csv`: | Manifesto title | Poster | |---|---| | *Dags att ta Sverige på allvar* | S-04 | | *Sverige kan mer* | C-NAT-01 | | *För din frihet* | the whole L series (L-01…L-10) | | *Sverige vinner på grön politik* | MP-03 | | *Tro på Sverige* | KD-REF-01 | | *Hemma i Sverige* / "tryggt, fritt och svenskt" | SD-06 *Trygg, fri och svensk* | The poster corpus is not a separate object from the manifesto corpus. It is its cover. ### Indicative term scan Raw counts, whole corpus, case-insensitive. **Not normalised for length** — C is fourteen times longer than V, so read the zeros, not the magnitudes. ``` term C KD L M MP S SD V -------------------------------------------------------------------------- AI 31 · 6 4 · 9 · · digital 23 1 5 7 · 6 · · digitalisering 9 · 1 · · 2 · · upphandling 8 2 · 4 · 3 · · artificiell intelligens 1 · · · · 1 · · algoritm · 1 1 · · · · · beräkningskraft 1 · · · · · · · datacenter · · · · · 1 · · molntjänst · · 1 · · · · · suveränitet · · · · · · 1 · språkmodell · · · · · · · · öppen källkod · · · · · · · · öppna vikter · · · · · · · · leverantörsberoende · · · · · · · · ``` - **`språkmodell`, `öppen källkod`, `öppna vikter`, `leverantörsberoende`: zero across all eight**, in ~73 800 words — while the government's own coordinator for Swedish language models was appointed on 2026-05-21, mid-campaign (`costs-sources.md` §9). - **MP, SD and V never write "AI" at all.** - The corpus's **only** occurrence of `suveränitet` is SD's, and it is about the EU, not technology: *"det får aldrig ske på bekostnad av Sveriges suveränitet eller vår förmåga att själva fatta avgörande beslut för landets framtid."* Digital-sovereignty mentions across all eight manifestos: **zero**. - The three substantive mentions of the machinery each frame it as something other than a thing to own: - **C** — compute as a competitiveness attractor: *"Etablera ett nationellt AI-center i världsklass… som samlar forskning, beräkningskraft och näringsliv för att attrahera internationell spetskompetens."* - **S** — datacentres as an electricity-price risk: *"Vi behöver kunna ställa krav vid energiintensiva etableringar, exempelvis datacenter. Annars riskerar elpriserna att öka och svenska elkonsumenter får betala priset."* - **SD** — sovereignty as a question about Brussels. This is the poster finding at manifesto length: the machinery appears as competitiveness, as an energy cost, and as a European constitutional question — never as public property. **These were raw counts from a single automated pass.** They have since been superseded by a proper coding pass — `coding-rubric.md` v3, applied by `build_manifest_dataset.py`, output in `manifest-coded.csv` and `manifest-aggregations.txt`. Two things changed under coding, and both matter: 1. **The scan above had a false negative.** Its lexicon missed Moderaterna's *"Minska Sveriges beroenden av utländsk teknik i kritiska system genom stärkta incitament och strategisk upphandling för svensk och europeisk teknik inom säkerhetskänslig IT, moln och drift"* — because M write `moln`, not `molntjänst`. That is the corpus's strongest sovereignty passage. v3 adds an infrastructure/dependency lexicon tier and audits its own exclusions. 2. **Normalised per 1 000 words, the ranking reverses**: S is the densest (1.98/1k), not C (1.74). Raw counts were measuring document length. The finding that survives coding is narrower and harder than "they never mention the machinery": across 73 797 words, **no passage claims public ownership or control of models, weights, compute or data infrastructure** (`own_claim` = 0 of 38). They propose to buy it, defend it, attract it and be skilled at using it. SD, V and MP contain no machinery language at all, under either lexicon. See v3 for what this licenses and what it does not.